Publications
Unified published summary reports of either the overall Bureau Shale Production and Reserves Study or of the individual studies of the major US shale plays do not exist. Rather, various aspects of the Bureau Shale Production and Reserves Study are set out in separate manuscripts which have either already been published or are currently under peer review for future publication in academic journals. Work on portions of the study is ongoing, and data may be adjusted as manuscripts are finalized.
Publications Status Summary
Bakken | Barnett | Eagle Ford | Fayetteville | Haynesville | Marcellus | Comprehensive | |
Geologic Analysis | |||||||
Engineering | |||||||
Well Economics | |||||||
Production Outlook | |||||||
In Preparation | Submitted | Forthcoming | Published |
Barnett Shale | Tad W. Patzek, Frank Male, and Michael Marder Gas production in the Barnett Shale obeys a simple scaling theory PNAS 2013 110 (49) 19731-19736; published ahead of print November 18, 2013, doi:10.1073/pnas.1313380110 |
Barnett Shale | Patzek, T.W. Male, F., and Marder, M. A simple model of gas production from hydrofractured horizontal wells in shales. AAPG Bulletin, v. 98, no. 12 (December 2014), pp. 2507–2529. |
Barnett Shale | Browning, J., Ikonnikova, S., Gülen, G., Tinker S. W., et al. 2013a. Barnett Shale Production Outlook. SPE Econ & Mgmt 5 (3): 89-104. SPE-165585-PA. |
Barnett Shale | Browning, J., Tinker S. W., Ikonnikova, S., Gülen, G., et al. 2013b. Barnett shale model -1: Study develops decline analysis, geologic parameters for reserves, production forecast. Oil & Gas Journal, 08/05/2013, Volume 111, Issue 8. |
Barnett Shale | Browning, J., Tinker S. W., Ikonnikova, S., Gülen, G., et al. 2013c. Barnett shale model -2 (Conclusion): Barnett study determines full-field reserves, production forecast. Oil & Gas Journal, 09/02/2013, Volume 111, Issue 9. |
Barnett Shale | Q. Fu, S. Horvath, E. Potter, F. Roberts, S. Tinker, S. Ikonnikova, W. Fisher, and J. Yan. Log-derived thickness and porosity of the Barnett Shale, Fort Worth basin, Texas: Implications for assessment of gas shale resources. AAPG Bulletin, v. 99, no. 1 (January 2015), pp. 119-141. |
Barnett Shale | Ikonnikova, S., Browning, J., Horvath, S., and S. Tinker. 2014. Well Recovery, Drainage Area, and Future Drill-Well Inventory: Empirical Study of the Barnett Shale Gas Play. SPE Reservoir Evaluation & Engineering, v. 17, no. 4 (November 2014), pp. 484-496, SPE-171552-PA. http://dx.doi.org/10.2118/171552-PA |
Barnett Shale | Gülen G, Browning J, Ikonnikova S, Tinker S, Well economics across ten tiers in low and high Btu (British thermal unit) areas, Barnett Shale, Texas, Energy (2013). |
Eagle Ford Shale |
Hammes, U., Eastwood, R., McDaid, G., Vankov, E., Gherabati, A., Shultz, A., Smye, K., Potter, E., Ikonnikova, S., and S. W. Tinker. Regional Assessment of the Eagle Ford group of South Texas, USA: Insights from lithology, pore volume, water saturation, organic richness and productivity correlations. Interpretation, SEG Journal. |
Eagle Ford Shale |
Gherabati, S. Amin, John Browning, Frank Male, Svetlana A. Ikonnikova, and Guinevere McDaid. "The impact of pressure and fluid property variation on well performance of liquid-rich Eagle Ford shale." Journal of Natural Gas Science and Engineering 33 (2016): 1056-1068. |
Eagle Ford Shale |
Gherabati, S. Amin, Ursula Hammes, Frank Male, John Browning, Katie Smye, Svetlana A. Ikonnikova, Guinevere McDaid. " Assessment of Hydrocarbon-in-Place and Recovery Factors in the Eagle Ford Shale Play." Submitted to SPE reservoir evaluation & engineering. |
Eagle Ford Shale |
Male, F., Marder, M., Browning, J., Gherabati, A., and Ikonnikova, S.A., Forecasting production from Eagle Ford wells, Journal of Petroleum Technology, in preparation. |
Eagle Ford Shale |
Vankov, E., Ikonnikova, S., Gülen, G., Medlock, K., Analyzing shale gas and oil well productivity: A statistical study of Eagle Ford shale oil play. In preparation, journal to be determined. |
Fayetteville Shale | Male, F., Patzek, T., Yu, W., Ikonnikova, S., Browning, J., Marder, M.P. Analysis of gas production in the Fayetteville Formation using scaling methods, in preparation |
Fayetteville Shale | Browning, J., Tinker S. W., Ikonnikova, S., Gülen, G., et al. 2014. Fayetteville shale resevres and Production forecast, OGJ January 6, 2014. |
Fayetteville Shale | Gülen G, Ikonnikova S, Browning J, Tinker SW. 2014. Fayetteville Shale Production Outlook, SPE Economics & Management, SPE-173187-PA, http://dx.doi.org/10.2118/173187-PA (print copy forthcoming). |
Fayetteville Shale | Ikonnikova, S., Gülen, G., Browning, J., and S. Tinker. 2014. Profitability of Shale Gas Drilling: A Case Study of the Fayetteville Shale Play, Energy, doi:10.1016/j.energy.2014.12.051 |
Haynesville Shale | Male, F., Islam, A., Patzek, T., Ikonnikova, S., Browning, J., Marder, M. 2014. Analysis of Gas Production From Hydraulically Fractured Wells In The Haynesville Shale Using Scaling Methods, The Journal of Unconventional Oil and Gas Resources, forthcoming |
Haynesville Shale | Male, F., Islam, A., Patzek, T., Ikonnikova, S., Browning, J., Marder, M. 2014. Analysis of Gas Production From Hydraulically Fractured Wells In The Haynesville Shale Using Scaling Methods, SPE 168993-MSM |
Haynesville Shale | Ikonnikova, S., Smye., Browning, J., Potter, E. Haynesville Shale: Resource and Reserves Estimates, in preparation |
Haynesville Shale | Browning, J., Ikonnikova, S., Male, F., Gülen, G., Tinker S. W., et al. Study forecasts gradual Haynesville production recovery before final decline, OGJ December, 2015. |
Haynesville Shale |
Gülen, G., Ikonnikova, S., Browning, J., Tinker, S.W. Haynesville Shale Production Outlook, submitted to SPE Economics & Management. |
Haynesville Shale | Ikonnikova, S., Gülen, G., Browning, J.Shale Gas Economics and Tax Incentives to Drill: Case Study of Haynesville Shale Play, in preparation |
Marcellus Shale | Male, F., Patzek, T., Ikonnikova, S., Browning, J., Marder, M. EUR estimates for gas wells in the Marcellus, in preparation |
Marcellus Shale | Smye, K., Potter, E.C., McDaid, G., Ikonnikova, S., and Tinker, S.W. Geological Analysis of the Marcellus Shale for Estimating Resource-in-Place and Predicting Productivity, in preparation |
Marcellus Shale | Browning, J., Ikonnikova, S., Gülen, G., Tinker S. W., et al. Marcellus shale reserves and Production forecast, OGJ targeting summer 2014. |
Marcellus Shale | Ikonnikova S, Gülen G, Browning J. Marcellus Shale Production Outlook, in preparation. |
Marcellus Shale | Ikonnikova S, Gülen G, Browning J. Shale Gas Economics Uncertainties: A Case Study of Marcellus Shale Gas Production Across Various Regions, in preparation. |
Comprehensive | Ikonnikova S. and Gulen G., Impact of low prices on shale gas production strategies; submitted |
Comprehensive |
Ikonnikova S., Browning J., Gulen G., and Tinker, S., 2015, Factors influencing shale gas production forecasting: Empirical studies of Barnett, Fayetteville, Haynesville, and Marcellus Shale plays. Economics of Energy & Environmental Policy, Volume 4, Issue 1, 19-35. |
In addition, research results have been published in the following:
Final Report on Update and Enhancement of Shale Gas Outlooks (September 2018)
OIL & GAS JOURNAL Bureau Shale Gas Study - Part 1OIL & GAS JOURNAL Bureau Shale Gas Study - Part 2
OIL & GAS JOURNAL Bureau Fayetteville Shale Gas Study
OIL & GAS JOURNAL Bureau Haynesville Shale Gas Study
Recent Presentations
Browning, J., Tinker, S.W., and Ikonnikova, S.A., 2016. Summary and conclusions from fieldwide study of Eagle Ford shale play, in Proceedings of the Unconventional Resources Technology Conference, August 2016.
Gherabati, S. A., Browning, J., Male, F., Ikonnikova, S., McDaid, G., The impact of pressure and fluid property variation on well performance of liquid-rich Eagle Ford shale, in SPE Liquids-Rich Basins Conference — North America, Midland, Texas 21-22 September.
Gherabati, A., U. Hammes, F. Male, J. Browning, S. A. Ikonnikova, G. McDaid. Assessment of the Hydrocarbons-in-Place and Recovery Factors in the Eagle Ford Shale Play, in Proceedings of the Unconventional Resources Technology Conference, August 2016.
Gülen, G., Ikonnikova, S.A., Browning, J., and Tinker, S.W. 2016. Eagle Ford production outlook sensitivity and uncertainty analysis, in Proceedings of the Unconventional Resources Technology Conference, August 2016.
Ikonnikova, S., Gülen, G., & Browning, J. (2016, May 10). Impacts of Price Differentials, Taxation, and Costs on Shale Gas Drilling: A Marcellus Case Study. Society of Petroleum Engineers. doi:10.2118/179985-MS, SPE/IAEE Hydrocarbon Economics and Evaluation Symposium, May 17-18, 2016, Houston.
Ikonnikova, S., Vankov, E., Gülen, G., & Browning, J. (2016, May 10). Understanding Shale Resource Production: What are the Key Variables? Society of Petroleum Engineers. doi:10.2118/179984-MS, SPE/IAEE Hydrocarbon Economics and Evaluation Symposium, May 17-18, 2016, Houston.
Ikonnikova, S.A., Hammes, U., Eastwood, R.L., Smye, K. Regional Assessment of the Eagle Ford Formation: Insights from Lithology, Water Saturation, Organic Richness and Productivity Correlations, in Proceedings of the Unconventional Resources Technology Conference, August 2016.
Ikonnikova, S.A., Gülen, G., Browning, J., Medlock, K.B. 2016. Well economics and production outlook of the Eagle Ford shale play, in Proceedings of the Unconventional Resources Technology Conference, August 2016.
Ikonnikova, S.A. and others, 2016. Integrated Analysis of Six Major U.S. Shale Gas and Shale Oil Basins, UNECE Expert Group on Resource Classification, Geneva, Switzerland, April, 2016.
Ikonnikova, S.A. and others, 2016. Shale Gas and Shale Oil: The U.S. Experience and its Global Implications, presented at the Ministry of Natural Resources, Beijing, China, March, 2016.
Male, F., Marder, M. P., Browning, J., Ikonnikova, S., and Patzek, T., 2016, Marcellus wells’ ultimate production accurately predicted from initial production, in SPE Low Perm Symposium: Society of Petroleum Engineers 180234.
Male, F., Marder, M., Browning, J., Gherabati, A., and Ikonnikova, S.A., 2016, Production Decline Analysis in the Eagle Ford, in Proceedings of the Unconventional Resources Technology Conference 2458308, August 2016.
Marder, M., Patzek, T., and Tinker, S. W., 2016, Physics, fracking, fuel, and the future. Physics Today, 69, 46-52.
Vankov, E.R., Ikonnikova, S.A., Gülen, G., and Medlock, K.B. 2016. Analyzing shale gas and oil well productivity: A statistical study of Eagle Ford shale oil play, in Proceedings of the Unconventional Resources Technology Conference, August 2016.